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Sea level rise and wave overtopping (2023)
Presentation / Conference
Hames, D. (2023, September). Sea level rise and wave overtopping. Presented at 1st International Conference and Workshop on Climate Adaptation and Resilience, Westminster, HR Wallingford and Brunel University

This presentation looks at the median and range of changes in coastal overtopping rates for coastal defences across the English coastline based on rises in sea levels of up to 1m. It considers the changes for both vertical walls and coastal embankme... Read More about Sea level rise and wave overtopping.

Impacts of sea level rise on wave overtopping rates around the coast of England (2022)
Journal Article
Hames, D., Vidal, I., & Ben, G. (2023). Impacts of sea level rise on wave overtopping rates around the coast of England. Proceedings of the ICE - Maritime Engineering, 176(3), 110-117. https://doi.org/10.1680/jmaen.2021.020

There is unequivocal evidence that global sea levels are rising. It is therefore inevitable there will be socioeconomic impacts as a result of this. To aid mitigation, and the implementation of adaptation measures, it is vital the magnitude of the po... Read More about Impacts of sea level rise on wave overtopping rates around the coast of England.

Effect of sea level rise on the overtopping of English coastal defences (2021)
Conference Proceeding
Hames, D., & Gouldby, B. (2021). Effect of sea level rise on the overtopping of English coastal defences. In FLOODrisk2020. https://doi.org/10.3311/FloodRisk2020.11.13

With a rise in sea levels, there is a consequent increase in the risk to coastal communities of the severity and magnitude of flood events. However these increased risks are not spatially consistent, and the type and nature of a coastal defence may... Read More about Effect of sea level rise on the overtopping of English coastal defences.

Investigating the use of joint probability curves in coastal engineering practice (2020)
Journal Article
Hames, D., Gouldby, B., & Hawkes, P. (2020). Investigating the use of joint probability curves in coastal engineering practice. Proceedings of the ICE - Maritime Engineering, 173(3), 68-78. https://doi.org/10.1680/jmaen.2019.12

This paper investigates the inherent inaccuracy in the estimation of various extreme response variables (RVs) for different sea defence structures using joint exceedance curve approaches in common use around the UK. Utilising stochastically generated... Read More about Investigating the use of joint probability curves in coastal engineering practice.

Evolution of joint probability methods in coastal engineering practice in the UK (2019)
Journal Article
Hames, D., Gouldby, B., & Hawkes, P. (2019). Evolution of joint probability methods in coastal engineering practice in the UK. Proceedings of the ICE - Maritime Engineering, 172(2), 45-54. https://doi.org/10.1680/jmaen.2019.4

This paper outlines the evolution of joint probability methods in the design and assessment of sea defence structures in the UK, together with the key drivers for these different methods. It highlights why and how the joint exceedance curve technique... Read More about Evolution of joint probability methods in coastal engineering practice in the UK.

Assessing the joint probability of sea conditions: A robust approach (2018)
Conference Proceeding
Gouldby, B., Panzeri, M., Hames, D., Wyncoll, D., Tozer, N., Hawkes, P., …Burgess, K. (2018). Assessing the joint probability of sea conditions: A robust approach. In Coasts, Marine Structures and Breakwaters 2017: Realising the Potential. https://doi.org/10.1680/cmsb.63174.0653

The design of breakwaters and other coastal structures around the UK requires the assessment of the joint probability of extreme waves and sea levels. There is a standard simplified approach applied within the UK that uses joint exceedance contours o... Read More about Assessing the joint probability of sea conditions: A robust approach.

Multivariate extreme value modelling of sea conditions around the coast of England (2017)
Journal Article
Gouldby, B., Wyncoll, D., Panzeri, M., Franklin, M., Hunt, T., Hames, D., …Pullen, T. (2017). Multivariate extreme value modelling of sea conditions around the coast of England. Proceedings of the ICE - Maritime Engineering, 170(1), 3-20. https://doi.org/10.1680/jmaen.2016.16

It is widely recognised that coastal flood events can arise from combinations of extreme waves and sea levels. For flood risk analysis and the design of coastal structures it is therefore necessary to assess the joint probability of the occurrence of... Read More about Multivariate extreme value modelling of sea conditions around the coast of England.

Spatial analysis and simulation of extreme coastal flooding scenarios for national-scale emergency planning (2016)
Conference Proceeding
Wyncoll, D., Haigh, I., Gouldby, B., Hames, D., Laeger, S., Wall, A., …Hammond, A. (2016). Spatial analysis and simulation of extreme coastal flooding scenarios for national-scale emergency planning. In 3rd European Conference on Flood Risk Management. https://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/20160701001

The UK has a long history of coastal flooding, driven by large-scale low-pressure weather systems which can result in flooding over large spatial areas. Traditional coastal flood risk analysis is, however, often undertaken at local scales and hence d... Read More about Spatial analysis and simulation of extreme coastal flooding scenarios for national-scale emergency planning.

National scale multivariate extreme value modelling of waves, winds and sea levels (2016)
Conference Proceeding
Gouldby, B., Wyncoll, D., Panzeri, M., Franklin, M., Hunt, T., Tozer, N., …Hawkes, P. (2016). National scale multivariate extreme value modelling of waves, winds and sea levels. In 3rd European Conference on Flood Risk Management. https://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/20160701007

It has long been recognised that extreme coastal flooding can arise from the joint occurrence of extreme waves, winds and sea levels. The standard simplified joint probability approach used in England and Wales can result in an underestimation of flo... Read More about National scale multivariate extreme value modelling of waves, winds and sea levels.

Methodology to assess coastal infrastructure resilience to climate change (2016)
Conference Proceeding
Roca, M., Hames, D., Gouldby, B., Zve, E., Rowlands, O., Barter, P., & Grew, J. (2016). Methodology to assess coastal infrastructure resilience to climate change. In 3rd European Conference on Flood Risk Management. https://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/20160702004

The section of railway which runs along the coastline of south Devon in United Kingdom, from Exeter to Newton Abbot, is one of the most photographed sections of railway in the world. It was opened in 1846 with embankments and seawalls protecting and... Read More about Methodology to assess coastal infrastructure resilience to climate change.

Application of a conditional approach for multivariate extreme values to flood risk (2014)
Conference Proceeding
Wyncoll, D., Gouldby, B., & Hames, D. (2014). Application of a conditional approach for multivariate extreme values to flood risk. In Proceedings of the 1st International Short Conference on Advances in Extreme Value Analysis and Application to Natural Hazards (EVAN 2013) (87-96)

Flood risk is a function of probability and consequence. Flooding events can arise from different sources, pluvial, fluvial, groundwater and coastal flooding. Sometimes flooding at a specific location arises from a single source in isolation. Often h... Read More about Application of a conditional approach for multivariate extreme values to flood risk.

Multiobjective optimization for improved management of flood risk (2013)
Journal Article
Woodward, M., Gouldby, B., Kapelan, Z., & Hames, D. (2014). Multiobjective optimization for improved management of flood risk. Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, 140(2), 201-215. https://doi.org/10.1061/%28ASCE%29WR.1943-5452.0000295

Effective flood risk management requires consideration of a range of different mitigation measures. Depending on the location, these could include structural or nonstructural measures as well as maintenance regimes for existing levee systems. Risk an... Read More about Multiobjective optimization for improved management of flood risk.

Change risk assessment for Scotland (2012)
Report
Hames, D. (2012). Change risk assessment for Scotland. London: Department for Environment, Food & Rural Affairs

The UK Climate Change Risk Assessment (CCRA) for Scotland was one of three devolved administration reports produced by the UK Government as part of the first ever UK Climate Change Risk Assessment (CCRA1). This report identified specific threats as... Read More about Change risk assessment for Scotland.

The UK’s first climate change risk assessment and the implications for the coast (2012)
Conference Proceeding
Hames, D., Panzeri, M., Ramsbottom, D., Townend, I., & Wade, S. (2012). The UK’s first climate change risk assessment and the implications for the coast.

In 2008 the Climate Change Act was passed into law in the UK. This provides a legally binding framework for reducing carbon emissions. Much of the focus of the Act is on reducing emissions and hence on mitigation measures, however, the Act also req... Read More about The UK’s first climate change risk assessment and the implications for the coast.

Climate change risk assessment for the health sector (2012)
Report
Hames, D., & Vardoulakis, S. (2012). Climate change risk assessment for the health sector. London: Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (Defra)

The UK Climate Change Risk Assessment (CCRA) for the Health Sector was one of 12 sector reports published by the Government on 25 January 2012. It was part of the first ever UK Climate Change Risk Assessment (CCRA1), with the key results of this repo... Read More about Climate change risk assessment for the health sector.

UK climate change risk assessment: Evidence report (2012)
Report
Hames, D. (2012). UK climate change risk assessment: Evidence report. London: Department for Environment, Food & Rural Affairs

The UK Climate Change Risk Assessment (CCRA) Evidence Report was published by the Government on 25 January 2012. It was the first ever UK Climate Change Risk Assessment (CCRA1), which are published on a 5-yealry cycle, a requirement of the 2008 Clima... Read More about UK climate change risk assessment: Evidence report.

Minimum sample size determination for generalized extreme value distribution (2010)
Journal Article
Cai, Y., & Hames, D. (2010). Minimum sample size determination for generalized extreme value distribution. Communications in Statistics - Simulation and Computation, 40(1), 87-98. https://doi.org/10.1080/03610918.2010.530368

Sample size determination is an important issue in statistical analysis. Obviously, the larger the sample size is, the better the statistical results we have. However, in many areas such as coastal engineering and environmental sciences, it can be ve... Read More about Minimum sample size determination for generalized extreme value distribution.