All Outputs (3)

Developing a generic System Dynamics model for building stock transformation towards energy efficiency and low-carbon development (2020)
Journal Article
Zhou, W., Moncaster, A., Reiner, D. M., & Guthrie, P. (2020). Developing a generic System Dynamics model for building stock transformation towards energy efficiency and low-carbon development. Energy and Buildings, 224, Article 110246. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enbuild.2020.110246

Promoting the decarbonisation of buildings requires effective policy measures. An integral part of policy design is ex-ante evaluation of possible policy options and effects. System Dynamics, one of a range of potential modelling paradigms, emphasise... Read More about Developing a generic System Dynamics model for building stock transformation towards energy efficiency and low-carbon development.

Forecasting urban residential stock turnover dynamics using system dynamics and Bayesian model averaging (2020)
Journal Article
Zhou, W., O'Neill, E., Moncaster, A., Reiner, D., & Guthrie, P. (2020). Forecasting urban residential stock turnover dynamics using system dynamics and Bayesian model averaging. Applied Energy, 275, Article 115388. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2020.115388

Knowing the size of building stock is perhaps the most basic determinant in assessing energy use in buildings. However, official statistics on urban residential stock for many countries are piecemeal at best. Previous studies estimating stock size an... Read More about Forecasting urban residential stock turnover dynamics using system dynamics and Bayesian model averaging.

Embodied carbon of concrete in buildings, Part 1: Analysis of published EPD (2020)
Journal Article
Anderson, J., & Moncaster, A. (2020). Embodied carbon of concrete in buildings, Part 1: Analysis of published EPD. Buildings and Cities, 1(1), 198-217. https://doi.org/10.5334/bc.59

Cement is responsible for 7% of global greenhouse gas emissions, and is predicted to grow with increasing development. The majority is used in concrete, globally the most common material in buildings. Reducing emissions from the use of cement and con... Read More about Embodied carbon of concrete in buildings, Part 1: Analysis of published EPD.