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Deep learning and boosted trees for injuries prediction in power infrastructure projects

Oyedele, Ahmed; Ajayi, Anuoluwapo; Oyedele, Lukumon O.; Delgado, Juan Manuel Davila; Akanbi, Lukman; Akinade, Olugbenga; Owolabi, Hakeem; Bilal, Muhammad

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Authors

Ahmed Oyedele

Anuoluwapo Ajayi Anuoluwapo.Ajayi@uwe.ac.uk
Associate Professor - Big Data Application

Lukumon Oyedele L.Oyedele@uwe.ac.uk
Professor in Enterprise & Project Management

Manuel Davila Delgado Manuel.Daviladelgado@uwe.ac.uk
Associate Professor - AR/VR Development with Artificial Intelligence

Dr Lukman Akanbi Lukman.Akanbi@uwe.ac.uk
Associate Professor - Big Data Application Developer

Olugbenga Akinade Olugbenga.Akinade@uwe.ac.uk
Associate Professor - AR/VR Development with Artificial Intelligence

Hakeem Owolabi Hakeem.Owolabi@uwe.ac.uk
Associate Professor - Project Analytics and Digital Enterprise

Muhammad Bilal Muhammad.Bilal@uwe.ac.uk
Associate Professor - Big Data Application



Abstract

Electrical injury impacts are substantial and massive. Investments in electricity will continue to increase, leading to construction project complexities, which undoubtedly contribute to injuries and associated effects. Machine learning (ML) algorithms are used to quantify and model causes of injuries; however, conventional ML techniques do not produce optimal results since they require careful engineering to transform data into suitable forms. In this study, we develop and compare state-of-the-art ML algorithms (deep learning and boosted trees) with other conventional methods to overcome this problem by analyzing incident cases obtained from a leading UK power infrastructure company. The predictive performance of the developed models was benchmarked using a statistical comparison between observations and predicted values. Results showed that the implementation of deep feedforward neural networks achieved the best predictions (accuracy = 0.967 and Cohen Kappa measure = 0.964). Furthermore, we conduct a sensitivity analysis to determine the effect of input parameters and data sizes on the modes’ behavior. The sensitivity analysis results showed strong generalization abilities of the deep learning and boosted tree models and their effectiveness for safety risks management.

Journal Article Type Article
Acceptance Date May 31, 2021
Online Publication Date Jun 10, 2021
Publication Date Oct 1, 2021
Deposit Date Jul 6, 2021
Publicly Available Date Jun 11, 2022
Journal Applied Soft Computing
Print ISSN 1568-4946
Publisher Elsevier
Peer Reviewed Peer Reviewed
Volume 110
Issue 107587
Pages 1 - 14
DOI https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asoc.2021.107587
Keywords Software
Public URL https://uwe-repository.worktribe.com/output/7510946
Additional Information This article is maintained by: Elsevier; Article Title: Deep learning and Boosted trees for injuries prediction in power infrastructure projects; Journal Title: Applied Soft Computing; CrossRef DOI link to publisher maintained version: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asoc.2021.107587; Content Type: article; Copyright: © 2021 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

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