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Pseudo-Goodwin cycles in a Minsky model

Stockhammer, E.; Michell, J.

Authors

E. Stockhammer

Jo Michell Jo.Michell@uwe.ac.uk
Associate Professor in Economics



Abstract

Goodwin cycles result from the dynamic interaction between a profit-led demand regime and a reserve army effect in income distribution. The paper proposes the concept of a pseudo-Goodwin cycle. We define this as a counter-clockwise movement in output and wage share space which is not generated by the usual Goodwin mechanism. In particular, it does not depend on a profit-led demand regime. As a demonstration, a simple Minsky model is extended by adding a reserve army distribution mechanism such that the wage share responds positively to output. In the extended Minsky model, cycles are generated purely through the interaction between financial fragility and demand. In a first step we assume no feedback from income distribution to demand. We demonstrate that the model generates a pseudo-Goodwin cycle in output-wage share space. In a second step, we show that the result continues to hold even if a wage-led demand regime is introduced, although this can introduce instability. Our models demonstrate that the existence of a counter-clockwise movement of output and the wage share cannot be regarded as proof of the existence of a Goodwin cycle and a profit-led demand regime.

Journal Article Type Article
Publication Date Jan 1, 2017
Journal Cambridge Journal of Economics
Print ISSN 0309-166X
Publisher Oxford University Press (OUP)
Peer Reviewed Peer Reviewed
Volume 41
Issue 1
Pages 105-125
APA6 Citation Stockhammer, E., & Michell, J. (2017). Pseudo-Goodwin cycles in a Minsky model. Cambridge Journal of Economics, 41(1), 105-125. https://doi.org/10.1093/cje/bew008
DOI https://doi.org/10.1093/cje/bew008
Keywords business cycles, Goodwin cycle, Minsky cycle, financial fragility, distribution cycles, post Keynesian economics
Publisher URL http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/cje/bew008
Additional Information Additional Information : This is a pre-copyedited, author-produced PDF of an article accepted for publication in Cambridge Journal of Economics following peer review. The version of record Stockhammer, E. and Michell, J. (2016) Pseudo-Goodwin cycles in a Minsky model. Cambridge Journal of Economics is available online at: http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/cje/bew008

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