Understanding car ownership elasticities in England and Wales: Advancing the evidence base with new data sources

Yeboah, Godwin; Anable, Jillian; Chatterton, Tim; Barnes, Jo; Wilson, Eddie; Turnbull, Oliver; Cairns, Sally

Abstract

This study presents global and local models explaining household car ownership elasticity in England and Wales based on new datasets from Experian household median income and 2011 Census released by UK Government agencies. Latest empirical evidence on car ownership elasticity across the area is based on 2001 Ward level household average income estimates and 2001 Census. In using different income estimates and new datasets, new evidence is compared with what we already know about car ownership elasticity. Geographically weighted regression is utilized to estimate and forecast car ownership elasticities at both Ward and Lower layer Super Output Areas. With our initial modelling in this paper, we suggest that future work should incorporate road worthiness tests data, at lower geographies when released, from Ministry of Transport (MOT) as a proxy for car ownership (and use) to undertake a comparative analysis towards deepening our understanding of car ownership (and use) trends to inform transport policy in England and Wales.

• Presentation Conference Type: Conference Paper (unpublished)
• Conference Name: GISRUK 2015
• Start Date: Apr 15, 2015
• End Date: Apr 17, 2015
• Publication Date: Apr 16, 2015
• Peer Reviewed: Peer Reviewed
• Keywords: car ownership, median income, geographically weighted regression, elasticity, MOT test
• Public URL: https://uwe-repository.worktribe.com/output/835735
• Publisher URL: http://leeds.gisruk.org/abstracts/GISRUK2015_submission_66.pdf
• Additional Information: Title of Conference or Conference Proceedings : GISRUK 2015