Skip to main content

Research Repository

See what's under the surface

The impact of analyst sentiment on UK stock recommendations and target prices

Yukselturk, Osman; Tucker, Jon

The impact of analyst sentiment on UK stock recommendations and target prices Thumbnail


Authors

Osman Yukselturk Osman.Yukselturk@uwe.ac.uk
AHOD in PG Accounting & Economics Prog Cluster



Abstract

© 2015 Taylor & Francis. The aim of this paper is to investigate the relationship between narrative sentiment in analysts' company reports and their recommendation and target price outputs. We study an industry-balanced sample of 275 UK quoted company sell-side analyst reports over the period 2006-2010 using a content analysis methodology to measure net sentiment for a range of themes. We then model analysts' outputs against themed sentiment scores to analyse the impact of the Global Financial Crisis. We find that themed sentiments impact upon analysts' outputs, but their magnitude and direction vary over the pre-crisis, crisis and post-crisis periods. In particular, before the crisis we find a strong negative relationship between the macroeconomic and regulatory environment and report outputs, though this effect diminishes somewhat with the onset of the crisis, to be restored thereafter. Growth sentiment exerts a weak positive impact before the crisis which disappears thereafter. Financial performance sentiment becomes a significant positive driver of outputs following the crisis. There is evidently a "back to basics" approach following the crisis which restores financial fundamentals to the heart of stock analysis. Our findings provide some insight into the thought processes of analysts by identifying the dynamic relation between analysts' outputs and themed sentiments.

Journal Article Type Article
Publication Date Jan 1, 2015
Journal Accounting and Business Research
Print ISSN 0001-4788
Electronic ISSN 2159-4260
Publisher Taylor & Francis (Routledge)
Peer Reviewed Peer Reviewed
Volume 45
Issue 6-7
Pages 869-904
Institution Citation Yukselturk, O., & Tucker, J. (2015). The impact of analyst sentiment on UK stock recommendations and target prices. Accounting and Business Research, 45(6-7), 869-904. https://doi.org/10.1080/00014788.2015.1044496
DOI https://doi.org/10.1080/00014788.2015.1044496
Keywords analyst recommendations, target price, sentiment, content analysis, financial crisis
Publisher URL http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/00014788.2015.1044496
Additional Information Additional Information : This is an Accepted Manuscript of an article published by Taylor & Francis in Accounting and Business Research on 11 November 2015, available online: http://wwww.tandfonline...0/00014788.2015.1044496

Files

The impact of analyst sentiment on UK stock recommendations and target prices.pdf (436 Kb)
PDF








You might also like



Downloadable Citations