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Developing an index of vulnerability to motor fuel price increases in England

Mattioli, Guilio; Philips, Ian; Anable, Jillian; Chatterton, Tim

Authors

Guilio Mattioli

Ian Philips

Jillian Anable



Abstract

As the outlook for oil prices remains uncertain, this paper develops a method to assess which areas of England would be most vulnerable to future motor fuel price increases. Building on previous research, we define and operationalise three dimensions of vulnerability: exposure (the cost burden of motor fuel), sensitivity (income) and adaptive capacity (accessibility with modes alternative to the car). We exploit unique data sets available in England, including the 'MOT' vehicle inspection data and DfT Accessibility Statistics. This allows us to map vulnerability to fuel price increases at a spatially disaggregated level (Lower-layer Super Output Areas), taking into account motor-fuel expenditure for all travel purposes, and the ability of households to shift to other modes of travel. This is an advancement on the 'oil vulnerability' indices developed in previous international research.

Citation

Mattioli, G., Philips, I., Anable, J., & Chatterton, T. (2017, January). Developing an index of vulnerability to motor fuel price increases in England. Paper presented at 49th University Transport Studies Group Conference

Presentation Conference Type Conference Paper (unpublished)
Conference Name 49th University Transport Studies Group Conference
Start Date Jan 4, 2017
End Date Jan 6, 2017
Acceptance Date Nov 30, 2016
Publication Date Jan 6, 2017
Peer Reviewed Not Peer Reviewed
Keywords transport, poverty, energy, vulnerability
Publisher URL http://www.utsg.net/web/index.php?page=annual-conference
Additional Information Title of Conference or Conference Proceedings : 49th University Transport Studies Group Conference

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