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With a little help from my neighbours: A spatial analysis ofthe impact of local campaigns at the 2010 British general election

Widdop, Paul; Webber, Don J.; Cutts, David; Johnston, Ron; Pattie, Charles

Authors

Paul Widdop

David Cutts

Ron Johnston

Charles Pattie



Abstract

This article examines the electoral impact of spillover effects in local campaigns in Britain. For the first time, this is applied to the long as well as the short campaign. Using spatial econometric modelling on constituency data from the 2010 general election, there is clear empirical evidence that, in both campaign periods, the more a party spends on campaigning in constituencies adjacent to constituency i, the more votes it gets in constituency i. Of the three major political parties, the Liberal Democrats obtained the greatest electoral payoff. Future empirical analyses of voting at the constituency scale must, therefore, explicitly take account of spatial heterogeneity in order to correctly gauge the magnitude and significance of factors that affect parties' parliamentary performance. © 2013 Elsevier Ltd.

Journal Article Type Article
Publication Date Jan 1, 2014
Journal Electoral Studies
Print ISSN 0261-3794
Publisher Elsevier
Peer Reviewed Peer Reviewed
Volume 34
Pages 216-231
APA6 Citation Widdop, P., Webber, D., Cutts, D., Webber, D. J., Johnston, R., & Pattie, C. (2014). With a little help from my neighbours: A spatial analysis ofthe impact of local campaigns at the 2010 British general election. Electoral Studies, 34, 216-231. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2013.12.001
DOI https://doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2013.12.001
Keywords local campaigning, spillover effects, general elections,
spatial modelling
Publisher URL http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2013.12.001
Related Public URLs http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0261379413001844
Additional Information Additional Information : Available online 12 December 2013
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